Investor Spotlight #1

Luke Bruni: The Calm Contrarian

Interview · Kyle Vallans · November 1, 2026 · 4 min read

Luke Bruni is 25, a coating inspector* and a former professional triathlete. He started as a day trader in 2019, quit because of the stress, and now buys great companies when everyone else is scared of them. Since March he has gained 12,000 followers on X by posting the research behind his trades.

*A coating inspector checks industrial paint and protective coatings on steel, tanks, and pipelines.

Why did you stop day trading?

I was profitable, but I was also training more than 30 hours a week. Doing both was too much for my head. Switching to long-term investing changed my life: less stress, and I make more money than I did trading.

How would you describe your style?

Long term and contrarian. I buy companies I know when they're far off their highs for reasons I think are wrong. Alphabet in 2025 is the best example. Everyone said ChatGPT would kill Google Search. I thought that was nonsense, so I bought it.

Alphabet stock price versus revenue. April 2025: AI will kill Search — Luke starts buying. Peak around $400 in May 2026. Quarterly revenue rose from $90B to $128B.

How do you decide what to buy?

First I work out why the stock is down. If the reason doesn't hold up, I check the fundamentals: revenue, EPS, margins and free cash flow. Then I set a five-year price target. If that works out to at least 15% a year, I buy.

And when do you sell?

When it gets there too fast. If I expect a $100 stock to reach $200 in five years and it hits $180 in 18 months, I already have most of the return. So I trim or sell, depending on the risk.

What does the portfolio look like?

23 stocks, nothing above 10% when I buy, and about 20% cash right now because I expect a pullback. I add every week, and I go in heavy when I see a real opportunity. Over the last few years I've compounded at about 35% a year.

Your biggest mistake?

Duolingo. I expected faster growth and didn't see the valuation coming down. I'm still bullish on the company. I just bought at the wrong price.

Duolingo price-to-sales ratio versus revenue. May 2025: 30x sales. Today about 5x sales while quarterly revenue nearly doubled from $151M to $298M.

Where are you buying now?

Consumer discretionary, names like Netflix and RH. High rates and fuel costs are hurting them, but that's today's problem. Nobody will remember it in a few years, and that's where the opportunity is.

What would you tell yourself in 2019?

Focus on the long term. Buy great companies at reasonable prices, and just chill.